Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1870.612433 2044.214610 2221.945054 2417.231100 2625.498530 2840.686804 3079.551223
2024-10-13 1587.263018 1841.159391 2112.739438 2423.752777 2768.949838 3139.228704 3565.304685
2024-10-20 1406.017518 1705.905524 2037.322208 2428.480166 2875.178489 3367.057482 3947.226377
2024-10-27 1218.587678 1539.699673 1905.070632 2347.874637 2866.152768 3449.721073 4152.470159
2024-11-03 1153.533707 1506.069912 1916.676952 2424.818417 3031.084065 3725.538308 4575.130071
2024-11-10 1083.785037 1459.117442 1905.872183 2469.463764 3153.692354 3949.625978 4937.153481
2024-11-17 1000.858162 1388.811023 1860.491701 2466.663885 3214.929435 4098.149224 5208.532084
2024-11-24 916.227343 1309.907251 1798.619711 2438.076889 3240.133884 4200.080904 5422.052512
2024-12-01 865.115156 1270.186741 1782.393727 2463.233148 3329.108076 4377.891115 5727.233478
2024-12-08 808.495049 1219.239805 1748.270442 2462.514727 3383.296875 4511.628126 5978.332909
2024-12-15 777.004613 1199.733803 1753.060706 2510.289269 3497.981888 4720.409712 6323.405451
2024-12-22 722.986281 1145.910949 1709.426792 2492.081768 3525.969862 4819.348397 6531.350797
2024-12-29 699.265784 1133.860477 1721.913825 2549.078231 3653.636317 5048.006753 6908.310666
2025-01-05 659.577090 1096.793205 1698.495084 2556.644617 3716.058186 5194.018152 7182.562715
2025-01-12 622.264550 1060.825956 1674.497237 2561.579752 3773.701753 5333.386185 7448.882152
2025-01-19 559.510591 983.339920 1588.501333 2477.574124 3708.917072 5311.027794 7504.843089
2025-01-26 551.915814 988.747844 1620.402113 2557.764219 3866.810290 5581.632982 7943.430367
2025-02-02 534.855696 978.444927 1628.737731 2604.282212 3978.851276 5792.632347 8306.181116
2025-02-09 504.891552 946.160790 1603.307562 2601.365125 4021.893500 5911.684860 8548.718094
2025-02-16 469.737068 903.521156 1560.531420 2571.579645 4026.022032 5977.629851 8720.701866
2025-02-23 451.541635 887.382352 1556.714945 2597.790728 4108.387952 6149.398091 9034.799262
2025-03-02 427.720132 860.540865 1535.320551 2597.042218 4151.902699 6268.274139 9278.713174
2025-03-09 417.513224 856.039292 1548.009438 2646.813278 4267.790689 6487.015309 9659.068700